spoiler alert: we probably know who will take out the hottest 100

Can’t be bothered waiting around all day to see who nabs the number one spot? Don’t worry, brainiacs may have you sorted.

by Wendy Syfret
25 January 2016, 2:22am

The Hottest 100 is central to a lot of people's Australia day celebrations. Maybe you're one of them; you sit around drinking gradually warmer beers, eating gradually cooler barbecue, hanging out for that one song you like--among the many you forgot about.

Not to undersell the event, but the spectacle--and the months of hype leading up to it--can be kind of exhausting. Luckily, the tradition of tuning into the broadcast has a new foil: very smart, patient people predicting the big winners beforehand. Just in case, you know, you want to pop out for a juice during the big reveal.

Kendrick's King Kunta is the favourite to take out number one this year.

Halfway through January, Melbourne Uni student Ed Pitt is already confident he'd cracked the top 10. Calling his list The Tepid 100, he spent weeks sifting through Instagram posts under the Hottest 100 hashtag to track over 2,000 ballots (that's 20,000 individual song votes). He then entered all this info into a series of spread sheets where he manually analysed them to reveal what he feels is the final list—or at something least very close to it.

Like a lot people who didn't spend weeks hunched over spread sheets to figure it out, he's put Kendrick Lamar's King Kunta at number one. But speaking to Music Feeds he alluded to a possible upset by suggesting people had "hugely overestimated the position of [Major Lazer & DJ Snake's] Lean On, and [Drake's] Hotline Bling to a lesser extent".

Ed thinks people have overestimated Hotline Bling's appeal this year.

Ed may be onto something with his Instagram approach, but he's not the first person to take on the mammoth task of predicting the winners. In 2013, The Warmest 100, a list compiled by analysing social sharing, drew national attention when it managed to guess several of the top tracks—including the number one song, Vance Joy's Riptide. Triple J was so concerned over his apparent abilities that they amended the social sharing features of their voting system.

But where The Warmest 100's data-mining method was thwarted, Ed is hoping to prove his low-tech, time-consuming, manual method will prevail. You know what they say, keep it simple when trying to screw with a major national broadcasting presence.

If you're not concerned about spoilers, or just think this is all bullshit, check out the top 20 predictions from The Tepid 100 below.

1. Kendrick Lamar — King Kunta
2. The Rubens — Hoops
3. Tame Impala — The Less I Know The Better
4. Violent Soho — Like Soda
5. Tame Impala — Let It Happen
6. Major Lazer & DJ Snake ft. MØ — Lean On
7. Hermitude ft. Mataya and Young Tapz — The Buzz
8. Marcus Marr and Chet Faker — The Trouble With Us
9. Disclosure ft. Lorde — Magnets
10. Meg Mac — Never Be
11. Gang Of Youths — Magnolia
12. Duke Dumont — Ocean Drive
13. Jarryd James — Do You Remember
14. The Weeknd — The Hills
15. Vallis Alps — Young
16. The Weeknd — Can't Feel My Face
17. RÜFÜS — You Were Right
18. Foals — Mountain At My Gates
19. Drake — Hotline Bling
20. DJ Snake — Middle (feat. Bipolar Sunshine)


Words Wendy Syfret
Image via YouTube

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